A couple of questions I've had rattling around in my brain, based on some of the stuff that could come up from the China split and the existence of the Guangdong Special Economic Zone.
1) How does the China/Guangdong split happen and what does the end result look like?
2) What would losing a large chunk of industrial capacity (with the Guangdong defection) do to civilian cohesion and the one party state?
3) How much of 'China' survives the split?
4) Does mainland China become a series of warring regional states that then declare themselves as nations?
5) What implications does the instability caused by the Guangdong split have on internal stability within China (e.g.: Hong Kong)?
6) The relative strength of China vs Guangdong might also depend on who controls Manchuria? Does Manchuria become its own nation state in the chaos of the split?
7) What implications does the China instability have on surrounding nations (e.g.: India, Burma, Pakistan, the Korean peninsula, Japan, Bangladesh, Nepal, Philippines)?
With the rise of Guangdong, I could see alignment and polarization towards it (instead of 'China') for some of the South and South-East Asian states (i.e.: Burma, Tibet, Nepal, Bangladesh, Vietnam). Pakistan might go either way and whichever way it went (China or Guangdong) would have further ripples for Afghanistan, Iran, India, the Stans and Sri Lanka.
The existence of potentially two strong Chinas on its northern border (China and Guangdong) could also cause a fracture in the Indian state along the Northeast Frontier (Siliguri corridor). It'd also have ramifications for the Naxalite corridor (i.e.: Nepal, Tibet, Bangladesh, Burma) and probably Arunachal Pradesh ('East Tibet').